FC Deren vs FC Ulaanbaatar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
27%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BSI
0 - 1
DER
14%
17%
69%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
DER
12 - 0
BFC
86%
10%
5%
|
30 | 6 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SPF
0 - 3
DER
47%
23%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DER
1 - 2
KHA
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ERC
1 - 6
DER
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
FC Ulaanbaatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ULA
1 - 2
TBF
51%
20%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
KHC
3 - 6
ULA
19%
18%
63%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ULA
3 - 2
KHO
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ULA
4 - 2
BSI
84%
10%
6%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 8
ULA
9%
14%
77%
|
27 | 6 | 21 | 0 |