FC Deren vs Khaan Khuns - Erchim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
3º
3º
26
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 42 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
KHA
0 - 3
DER
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DER
0 - 0
KHO
76%
15%
10%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
ULC
4 - 3
DER
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
DER
1 - 0
ULA
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
DER
3 - 1
TBF
59%
19%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Khaan Khuns - Erchim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ERC
1 - 4
SPF
42%
21%
38%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
KHC
2 - 1
ERC
28%
20%
52%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
ERC
4 - 0
BCH
93%
5%
2%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TBF
2 - 1
ERC
43%
21%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KHA
3 - 3
ERC
13%
16%
71%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | -1 |