FC Deren vs Brera Ilch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+159%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 6
DER
10%
16%
74%
|
29 | 6 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
DER
0 - 1
SPF
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
KHA
0 - 0
DER
30%
22%
49%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
DER
7 - 0
ERC
64%
18%
18%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DER
2 - 2
KHO
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Brera Ilch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
BSI
1 - 3
TBF
12%
15%
73%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KHC
1 - 3
BSI
82%
11%
7%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BSI
1 - 3
ULA
12%
16%
72%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
KHO
3 - 4
BSI
84%
10%
6%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 8
BSI
47%
21%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +2 |