FC Deren vs Bavarians FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
3.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SPF
0 - 0
DER
50%
22%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
DER
2 - 2
KHA
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
ERC
0 - 0
DER
29%
22%
50%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
KHO
0 - 2
DER
13%
17%
69%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
DER
5 - 3
TBF
54%
20%
26%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bavarians FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BFC
3 - 4
TBF
6%
11%
83%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
KHC
0 - 1
BFC
93%
6%
2%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 5
ULA
5%
10%
85%
|
8 | 28 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BSI
1 - 4
BFC
49%
21%
30%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BFC
2 - 3
KHO
11%
14%
76%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | -1 |