Den Bosch vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
BVO
0 - 3
BOS
36%
26%
39%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
BOS
3 - 0
HEL
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
TEL
1 - 0
BOS
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
BOS
0 - 0
EIN
65%
20%
14%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
MVV
2 - 3
BOS
27%
24%
49%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
HER
2 - 1
FCD
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
FOR
0 - 3
HER
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
HER
1 - 0
VVV
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
VOL
0 - 2
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
HER
0 - 0
BVV
63%
20%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |