Den Bosch vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
VVV
3 - 1
BOS
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
BOS
1 - 0
GAE
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
BOS
1 - 0
GRO
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
PSV
2 - 1
BOS
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
BOS
0 - 0
AZA
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
HER
2 - 2
HFC
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
AJA
7 - 0
HER
94%
4%
2%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
UTR
0 - 2
HER
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
HER
2 - 5
FEY
13%
17%
70%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
GAE
2 - 2
HER
66%
20%
15%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |