Den Bosch vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
EIN
0 - 1
BOS
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
BOS
3 - 1
TEL
70%
19%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1998 |
FCD
0 - 4
BOS
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1998 |
BOS
0 - 1
VVV
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
BOS
4 - 0
ADO
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 0
RBC
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
GAE
4 - 1
EXC
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 2
FCE
28%
25%
46%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 0
AZA
24%
26%
50%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
EXC
3 - 3
HFC
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |