Den Bosch vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
ADO
2 - 2
BOS
45%
26%
28%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
BOS
1 - 1
HFC
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
RJC
2 - 1
BOS
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
BOS
1 - 1
GRO
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
TWE
0 - 1
BOS
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
EXC
1 - 6
FEY
10%
22%
68%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
BVV
2 - 3
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
UTR
5 - 3
EXC
64%
23%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
EXC
2 - 3
AZA
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
AJA
3 - 0
EXC
92%
6%
2%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |