Q. Europa League Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 2-3
FC Daugava vs Víkingur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2014 |
FCJ
2 - 3
FCD
14%
22%
63%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
VIK
2 - 1
FCD
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
FKS
0 - 0
FCD
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
FCD
1 - 1
VEN
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
LIE
0 - 3
FCD
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Víkingur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
VIK
2 - 1
FCD
37%
24%
39%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
VIK
0 - 0
HBT
45%
25%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
TOF
1 - 3
VIK
25%
26%
48%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
EBS
2 - 0
VIK
48%
24%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
VIK
5 - 0
SKA
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |