FC Daugava vs Liepājas Metalurgs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2007 |
VEN
3 - 1
FCD
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2007 |
FCD
2 - 0
JFK
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
DIN
2 - 1
FCD
57%
25%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
FCS
3 - 1
FCD
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
FCD
1 - 3
FKR
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Liepājas Metalurgs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2007 |
FKD
3 - 4
LIE
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2007 |
LIE
2 - 0
VEN
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
FCS
0 - 4
LIE
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
LIE
1 - 0
JFK
86%
10%
4%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
FKR
3 - 0
LIE
20%
24%
56%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | -1 |