FC Daugava vs Ilukstes NSS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FCJ
0 - 3
FCD
18%
23%
60%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FCD
0 - 0
FCS
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FKS
0 - 2
FCD
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
FCD
1 - 0
LIE
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
LIE
2 - 2
FCD
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ilukstes NSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ILU
0 - 5
VEN
16%
23%
61%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
FKD
7 - 1
ILU
72%
19%
10%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
ILU
1 - 7
VEN
15%
24%
61%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ILU
1 - 2
FSM
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
FKJ
3 - 1
ILU
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |