Crotone vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
CAT
1 - 0
CRO
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CRO
1 - 1
EMP
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2005 |
BAR
0 - 0
CRO
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CRO
2 - 0
ARZ
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
TOR
1 - 0
CRO
69%
20%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
TRI
2 - 1
ABN
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
VER
0 - 0
TRI
60%
22%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
TRI
3 - 1
TER
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
TRI
3 - 1
CAT
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
TRE
2 - 0
TRI
47%
27%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |