Crotone vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
EMP
1 - 1
CRO
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 2
PES
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
JUS
2 - 2
CRO
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 2
VAR
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 1
CRO
49%
26%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 1
SAM
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
VER
2 - 0
GRO
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 0
REG
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 0
ABN
53%
23%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ASG
4 - 0
GRO
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |