Crotone vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRO
20%
25%
56%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CRO
4 - 0
GIU
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
LOD
0 - 3
CRO
19%
25%
56%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
VIT
1 - 0
CRO
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
CRO
3 - 1
CAS
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
ARZ
0 - 0
AVE
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
AVE
0 - 1
ASC
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 1
AVE
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
AVE
3 - 0
BEN
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
LOD
1 - 1
AVE
29%
27%
45%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |