Crotone vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
GEN
1 - 0
CRO
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 2
VER
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ABN
1 - 1
CRO
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
ASC
0 - 2
CRO
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CRO
1 - 2
TER
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
TRE
0 - 0
CAT
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
TRE
2 - 0
BAR
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
VNZ
1 - 2
TRE
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
TRE
1 - 0
VER
35%
27%
39%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CES
3 - 4
TRE
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |