Crotone vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
CRO
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 0
SPE
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PRG
0 - 0
CRO
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 1
BRE
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CTT
0 - 0
CRO
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
LAT
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 0
VIR
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 0
ACD
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
VIR
28%
29%
43%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 0
AVE
42%
28%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |