Crotone vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
REG
1 - 1
CRO
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CRO
0 - 1
PAD
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 2
CRO
21%
28%
51%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 2
EMP
55%
23%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SPE
2 - 1
CRO
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
3 - 3
CES
25%
29%
46%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
TER
2 - 2
VIR
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 3
BAR
19%
26%
55%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
JUS
2 - 1
VIR
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 1
VIR
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |