Crotone vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
VIS
2 - 1
CRO
37%
29%
34%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
FCC
3 - 2
CRO
50%
27%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 1
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
TER
2 - 1
CRO
55%
24%
22%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
CRO
0 - 0
ACI
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
ACI
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 0
VIR
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2003 |
VIR
2 - 0
TER
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
VIR
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
LAQ
0 - 1
VIR
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |