Crotone vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
19.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
CRO
2 - 0
BEN
68%
20%
13%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
TAR
2 - 0
CRO
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 1
PES
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
SSS
1 - 1
CRO
48%
28%
24%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 1
SAS
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 0
PES
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
PAT
0 - 2
VIR
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
FER
55%
25%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
VIR
0 - 0
GIU
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
TAR
3 - 2
VIR
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |