Crotone vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAG
4 - 2
CRO
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CRO
1 - 1
JUV
11%
20%
69%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SAS
4 - 1
CRO
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CRO
0 - 2
ACM
18%
24%
59%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
GEN
4 - 1
CRO
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SPA
3 - 2
VIC
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
EMP
2 - 1
SPA
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
POR
3 - 3
SPA
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 1
NUO
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
SPA
0 - 0
BAR
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |