Crotone vs Sora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
LAQ
0 - 2
CRO
35%
27%
37%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
CRO
0 - 1
AVE
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 0
CRO
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
CRO
2 - 0
VIT
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
TER
1 - 0
CRO
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SOR
0 - 1
BEN
37%
28%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
SOR
3 - 1
VIT
32%
27%
42%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
PES
4 - 2
SOR
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
SOR
0 - 0
FER
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 1
SOR
51%
25%
25%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |