Crotone vs Sassari Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
VIS
0 - 0
CRO
33%
28%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
PAT
2 - 1
CRO
28%
27%
46%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 2
LAQ
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2003 |
CRO
2 - 0
TER
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 0
CRO
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sassari Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 1
PAT
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
BEN
1 - 0
SAS
41%
27%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 0
AVE
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CHI
3 - 1
SAS
44%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |