Crotone vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
NAP
0 - 0
CRO
74%
17%
8%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
CRO
1 - 2
REG
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
EMP
1 - 0
CRO
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2001 |
CRO
3 - 4
VIC
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
CRO
1 - 2
CTT
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
SAM
1 - 2
JUV
24%
27%
49%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2001 |
GEN
1 - 0
SAM
42%
25%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
NAP
1 - 1
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2001 |
TOR
2 - 2
SAM
52%
24%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
SAM
2 - 0
PIS
76%
17%
8%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |