Crotone vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
68.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
INT
6 - 2
CRO
84%
12%
5%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAR
33%
26%
42%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SAM
3 - 1
CRO
63%
20%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
UDI
0 - 0
CRO
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CRO
4 - 1
SPE
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 0
SAM
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ROM
3 - 2
CAG
79%
14%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ATL
4 - 1
ROM
51%
22%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
ROM
3 - 1
TOR
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
BOL
1 - 5
ROM
18%
21%
61%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |