Crotone vs Progreditur Marcianise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
PIS
1 - 0
CRO
25%
28%
48%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CRO
2 - 0
PES
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
CRO
0 - 3
LIV
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
FRO
0 - 2
CRO
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
CRO
2 - 0
RCA
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 24 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
REA
1 - 0
PAG
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
TER
2 - 1
REA
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
NOV
3 - 1
REA
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
REA
2 - 3
SSS
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ASM
2 - 3
REA
36%
28%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |