Crotone vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 1
CRO
23%
27%
49%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 0
TAR
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TER
0 - 0
CRO
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CRO
4 - 2
FOL
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
POT
2 - 0
CRO
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
PES
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PRG
1 - 2
PAG
56%
26%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 0
PAG
49%
27%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 0
TAR
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAG
64%
22%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |