Crotone vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
BEN
1 - 1
CRO
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
CRO
1 - 0
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 1
CRO
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
CRO
0 - 0
ASC
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
CRO
2 - 1
ARZ
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
NOC
1 - 0
GIU
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 1
NOC
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
NOC
0 - 0
AVE
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
ARZ
0 - 0
NOC
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
NOC
2 - 1
CAT
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |