Crotone vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
31%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
ABN
2 - 1
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
CRO
0 - 1
VER
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
TRE
1 - 2
CRO
47%
27%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CRO
2 - 1
MAN
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
JUV
5 - 0
CRO
78%
15%
6%
|
62 | 90 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
NAP
0 - 0
VIC
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
RIM
1 - 1
NAP
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
NAP
3 - 1
SPE
62%
24%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
TRI
1 - 3
NAP
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
NAP
2 - 2
ARZ
52%
28%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |