Crotone vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2002 |
PIS
4 - 1
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
CRO
2 - 3
TER
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
SIE
2 - 1
CRO
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
CRO
4 - 3
GEN
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
COS
1 - 0
CRO
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2002 |
MES
2 - 0
MOD
33%
30%
37%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
BAR
3 - 1
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
MES
3 - 1
CTT
50%
27%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
SAM
2 - 1
MES
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
MES
1 - 1
PIS
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |