Crotone vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 2
CRO
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CRO
1 - 0
SOR
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
POR
2 - 3
CRO
32%
29%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 0
GRO
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CTT
1 - 0
CRO
51%
26%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
LIV
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LIV
3 - 1
SIR
73%
18%
10%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
LIV
2 - 1
FRO
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PAD
3 - 2
LIV
44%
28%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 0
PIA
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |