Crotone vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2004 |
SSS
2 - 3
CRO
50%
27%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 0
USF
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
GIU
2 - 3
CRO
34%
29%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 0
VIT
52%
25%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
FER
1 - 1
CRO
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
SOR
1 - 0
LAQ
52%
26%
22%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
LAQ
0 - 0
VIT
23%
27%
51%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
TAR
1 - 0
LAQ
66%
22%
12%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
LAQ
1 - 1
SSS
27%
29%
44%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
BEN
2 - 1
LAQ
62%
25%
14%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |