Crotone vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
REG
1 - 1
CRO
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 0
SAM
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 2
CRO
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CRO
5 - 2
ABN
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ASG
3 - 3
CRO
31%
28%
40%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
VER
4 - 1
BAR
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
VER
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
VER
3 - 2
CTT
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NOC
3 - 1
VER
24%
28%
48%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
VER
2 - 0
VIC
66%
22%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |