Crotone vs Gualdo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
NOC
0 - 1
CRO
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
CRO
1 - 0
BEN
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
PAL
0 - 1
CRO
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
CRO
1 - 1
CAT
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ASC
1 - 1
CRO
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gualdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
GUA
0 - 0
LOD
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
AVE
2 - 1
GUA
67%
21%
13%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAS
26%
27%
47%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
GUA
0 - 0
BEN
29%
26%
46%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
VIT
1 - 1
GUA
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |