Crotone vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
LOD
0 - 3
CRO
19%
25%
56%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
VIT
1 - 0
CRO
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
CRO
3 - 1
CAS
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
ANC
1 - 1
CRO
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
CRO
3 - 0
FIA
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
GIU
4 - 0
PAL
26%
28%
46%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
ANC
1 - 0
GIU
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
GIU
0 - 1
CAT
29%
26%
44%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
JUS
0 - 1
GIU
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
GIU
2 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |