Crotone vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
POT
2 - 0
CRO
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 1
JUS
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 2
CRO
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 1
CAV
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
REA
3 - 1
CRO
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
REA
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 2
FOL
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 0
TER
42%
28%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
USF
2 - 2
FOL
55%
25%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
FOL
2 - 0
GAL
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |