Crotone vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
MAN
3 - 2
CRO
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
CRO
3 - 0
BOL
35%
29%
37%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CAT
3 - 2
CRO
54%
25%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
CRO
1 - 1
TOR
41%
29%
31%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
VIC
0 - 1
CRO
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
FCC
1 - 0
MOD
20%
26%
54%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
FCC
0 - 0
VER
22%
26%
53%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
TOR
2 - 0
FCC
74%
18%
7%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
FCC
2 - 1
TRI
26%
28%
47%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
PES
0 - 1
FCC
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |