Crotone vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
ACS
0 - 2
CRO
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
CRO
4 - 1
SAL
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
PES
1 - 4
CRO
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
CRO
1 - 0
PIA
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
VNZ
0 - 0
CRO
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
EMP
2 - 1
PER
77%
16%
8%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
BAR
4 - 1
EMP
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
EMP
1 - 1
ARZ
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
TRE
0 - 1
EMP
30%
27%
42%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
EMP
0 - 0
GEN
54%
25%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |