Crotone vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
LEC
1 - 0
CRO
23%
27%
50%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 1
SAL
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAD
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 0
CRO
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 2
BRE
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 3
PAL
22%
27%
51%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 0
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
NUO
58%
25%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SPE
2 - 1
CAR
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
PRG
0 - 1
CAR
55%
26%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |