Crotone vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
10.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 0
CRO
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 2
BRE
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
PES
2 - 1
CRO
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 2
VER
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
LIV
0 - 1
CRO
13%
24%
63%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
LEN
2 - 1
PAD
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BRE
4 - 1
PAD
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
PAD
2 - 2
PES
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
USF
2 - 1
PAD
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PAD
1 - 1
USC
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |