Crotone vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
REG
0 - 0
CRO
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
CRO
1 - 0
TRI
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
CRO
1 - 2
ASC
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
CTT
3 - 0
CRO
52%
27%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CRO
2 - 2
MAN
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
PAD
1 - 1
NOV
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
PAD
1 - 0
RAV
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
TRI
0 - 3
PAD
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
PAD
0 - 0
TRI
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
PAD
2 - 1
BRE
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |