Crotone vs Brindisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LAT
0 - 0
CRO
16%
22%
62%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CRO
3 - 3
MES
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SSC
1 - 2
CRO
12%
20%
68%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 1
USF
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TAR
2 - 1
CRO
12%
22%
66%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Brindisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SSC
3 - 0
BRI
43%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 2
CAT
19%
26%
55%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 2
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
MES
0 - 1
BRI
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 4
CAS
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |