Crotone vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
36.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
CRO
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 1
LAT
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
TER
2 - 1
CRO
39%
27%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ACD
1 - 1
CRO
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
CRO
2 - 0
FRO
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 0
PES
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ACD
1 - 2
BOL
26%
29%
45%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
BOL
2 - 1
PRG
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 2
BOL
35%
29%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
BOL
3 - 0
LEO
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |