Crotone vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
PAL
0 - 1
CRO
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
CRO
1 - 1
CAT
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ASC
1 - 1
CRO
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CRO
27%
27%
47%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1999 |
CRO
1 - 1
CAT
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
BEN
1 - 0
LOD
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
GUA
0 - 0
BEN
29%
26%
46%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
BEN
3 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
JUS
4 - 0
BEN
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
BEN
1 - 0
FIA
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |