Crotone vs Atl. Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
AVE
1 - 1
CRO
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CRO
2 - 0
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
GIU
1 - 2
CRO
19%
23%
58%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
CRO
3 - 0
LOD
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
CRO
5 - 2
VIT
72%
18%
11%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 1
PAL
24%
27%
49%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
LOD
0 - 0
CAT
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 1
JUS
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAT
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 0
FIA
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | +1 |