Crotone vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CRO
0 - 1
MES
33%
27%
41%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
ACI
1 - 1
CRO
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CRO
3 - 0
SSS
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
USF
2 - 2
CRO
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 1
GIU
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 1
ACI
53%
24%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 2
MES
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
VNZ
2 - 0
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 0
VNZ
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
PAL
3 - 0
BAR
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |