Crotone vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
FIA
4 - 3
CRO
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
CRO
2 - 2
JUS
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRO
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
CRO
3 - 2
NOC
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
BEN
1 - 1
CRO
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
ANC
2 - 1
CAT
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
LOD
1 - 0
ANC
20%
25%
55%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ANC
2 - 2
PAL
67%
21%
13%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
ASC
2 - 2
ANC
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ANC
2 - 0
MAR
87%
10%
3%
|
67 | 37 | 30 | 0 |