Crotone vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
MOD
1 - 0
CRO
50%
28%
22%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 2
CRO
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
CRO
3 - 1
CAT
44%
26%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
TOR
0 - 0
CRO
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
CRO
0 - 2
VIC
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 1
MAN
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 0
ATL
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
MAN
3 - 1
RIM
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
VIC
0 - 1
MAN
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
PIA
1 - 3
MAN
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +2 |