Crotone vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
GAL
2 - 1
CRO
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CRO
1 - 1
SOR
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 1
CRO
29%
28%
44%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CRO
5 - 3
VIR
68%
20%
11%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
TAR
0 - 1
CRO
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ARZ
4 - 1
BEN
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
PRG
1 - 0
ARZ
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PES
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
REA
1 - 0
ARZ
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
USF
2 - 1
ARZ
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |