FC Courtetelle vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
15º
15º
16
5º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 53 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 50 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 49 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 45 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 42 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 40 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 39 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 39 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 38 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 34 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 43% |
|
Relegation
|
36% | 57% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Courtetelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 0
WOH
45%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 0
RTK
40%
25%
34%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CON
0 - 0
FCC
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 1
MUN
33%
25%
43%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 2
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
THU
2 - 2
MUT
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BLA
3 - 4
THU
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
THU
1 - 2
SOL
20%
21%
59%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
THU
2 - 3
DIE
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
WOH
1 - 1
THU
57%
19%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |