Collina d'Oro vs Zug 94 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
38.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
5º
1º
51
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 4
FCC
36%
22%
42%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 4
WIL
4%
8%
88%
|
28 | 64 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 3
CHA
68%
18%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
PER
3 - 2
FCC
23%
20%
57%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 1
BUO
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Zug 94
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ZUG
3 - 0
ZOF
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 0
ZUG
25%
24%
52%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ZUG
2 - 0
ASC
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 1
ZUG
25%
23%
52%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ZUG
4 - 1
SCE
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |